October Hathaway Duke Archives

Fed: Will They or Won’t They?

Lots of handwringing in the media and blogs on the question, “Will the Fed cut rates” today. In Fed futures land, the odds of a quarter point cut stand at 75% (see graphic.) Despite some smart minds arguing that the Fed should not/will not cut at this point, the markets are expecting a cut, and if one thing is certain since the dawn of the Geenspan era, Mr. market gets what Mr. Market wants when it comes to Fed policy. Let this also serve as a reminder: The Fed does not control mortgage rates, and how these rates or the market at large will react to any Fed move is hard to predict, and will be based more upon the Fedspeak contained in the policy statement accompanying the Fed cut. Recall that on Sept 18th, when the Fed cut, long term mortgage rates actually went up. Fed Statment out at 1:15 central, here. Highly entertaining Fake Fed Statment Generator Here, via Kedrosky. Grab Some Popcorn. Why a Rate Cut Isn’t a Sure Thing [WSJ]

Wedesday AM Linklube

Local Centerpoint Energy to Begin Reporting to Credit Bureaus [Strib] Elsewhere & Otherwise The Argument Against a Rate Cut [NakedCapitalism] Home Prices Continue Fall: Case-Schiller IDX [Bloom] Home Seller Offers Cash Back Upon Death [WSJ] When Will Housing Hit Bottom [WSJ] Mortgage Defaults Jump 22% [Bloom] The Problem with NAR Forecasts [Matrix]

Texas Builder Pleads Guilty to Straw Borrower Scheme

Les Tarrance Sr., Montgomery County business owner, pled guilty to conspiracy to commit mail and wire fraud after orchestrating an elaborate scam with two co-conspirators to defraud mortgage companies across the country out of more than $11 million.&nb…

Former Officer Forges Signature to Obtain Loan

D’Clarence Reynolds, 27, Detroit, Michigan, has been charged with three mortgage fraud based felonies.  Specifically, Reynolds is charged with forgery, false pretenses, uttering and publishing.  According to media reports, Reynolds was …

Man Sentenced For Selling Non-Existent Or Partial Houses

Jeffery Alan Teague, a/k/a ”Jeffrey Allen Bryant,” 49, Atlanta, Georgia, formerly of Montgomery and Prince Georges County, Maryland, was sentenced on charges relating to two builder-based mortgage fraud schemes involving $15 million in frau…

Kansas Mortgage Fraud and Conspiracy Trial Postponed

Trial in the case against F. Jeffrey Miller has been postponed due to its complexity. The Judge has not yet set a new trial date. Miller, a developer, and his co-conspirators in Kansas were indicted for an alleged scheme involving the sale of homes con…

Weekend Linklube: RE Stories You May Have Missed

Quick sampling of the weekend real estate related stories from selected local publications. Easy to miss if you are an onlineatworkonly type of newspaper reader. Thanks a Million, Priciest Homes Still Sell [Strib] “While sales of existing homes in the Twin Cities metro area dropped a whopping 14 percent over the past 12 months, sales of homes priced at $1 million-plus jumped 4 percent…Life isn’t all peaches and cream in the upper-bracket market, though. Currently, there’s a 23-month supply of listings…” A ray of sunshine, sort of for our local RE market, though we’d like to see the original list price vs. final sales price data. Maybe the upper bracket sellers have gotten real on pricing? Will the rest of the market follow? Parish Collapse Leaves Subcontractors with Upaid Bills [Strib] “Although contractors are scrambling to place liens on Parish homes, their hope of recovering even modest sums is slim, real estate attorneys say. Lenders usually have first priority, and in cases of fraud, where the loans often exceed the home values, there’s often nothing left after banks get paid, attorneys said.” So lets get this straight. The Parish cabal claims that they were not committing fraud to live a lavish lifestyle or line their pockets, but only to keep the business going? If that’s the case, why all the unpaid contractors? With 50 Million in estimated fraud, these should have been the best paid contractors in the business. Struggling to Escape the Sub-Prime Swamp [Strib] Like millions of homeowners across the country, the Christophersons were stuck in a subprime mortgage. The interest rate was about to soar, hitting them with a new payment that would eat up more than Paul’s monthly take-home pay. Just a heartbreaking story of one family’s struggle to make ends meet when faced with mounting medical bills for their children. A cursory read of the headline might lead one to assume the sub-prime market was what got this family in trouble. To the contrary. Faced with an extreme financial setback, the subprime market is what kept them afloat for several years, and gave them access to capital they may not have otherwise had. Things may not end well for them financially, but in this case it is hard to place the blame entirely on Subprime.

Monday Market Commentary: All Eyes on the FED

Image via MSNBC Last Week: Rates were basically unchanged for the week as the collective markets digested a mixed bag of news - from huge writedowns and losses in housing related sectors (financials & home builders) to major earnings beats in the tech space, to some flight to quality activity which drove bond yields down ahead of the Fed meeting this week. This Week: All eyes on the Fed (the FOMC meets Wed/Thurs.) The markets expect a .25% cut to the Fed Funds rate. To a large degree, this cut has already been baked into the cake. If you’ll recall the last Fed cut on Sept 18th, mortgage rates actually rose a bit after the cut, but have now recovered to their before-cut levels in anticipation of this next move. Always remember - a Fed cut does not mean mortgage rates will drop - so tread carefully. This Weeks Economic Calendar [Barron’s}

October 2007 SARS Report Issued

The US Department of Treasury, Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, has issued its October 2007 “SAR Activity Review – Trends, Tips & Issues, which is a product of continuing dialogue and close collaboration among the nation’s financial …

Milton Arraigned in NY Identity Theft Scheme

Jacob Milton (a.k.a. Sabbirul Haque Talukder and Mohammed Saber), 41, branch manager of Griffin Mortgage Co., 72-32 Broadway, Jackson Heights, New York, and Shamsun N. Nira (a.k.a. Nira Niru, Nira Rabbany and Monihhah Khatun), 37, both of 77 Hickory Ro…