Graphic Courtesy MSNBCLast WeekDespite a relatively benign print from the consumer price index, mortgage bond prices tanked, resulting in a rise in rates on most home loans of .25-.375%. What happened? It’s all about the technical (charts, moving averages, etc.) rather than fundamental (economic data) picture. The price of mortgage bonds crossed below the 200 day moving average, which from a technical standpoint is an unusual and bearish signal. Underlying the technical aspect, we’d also add the market now seems convinced inflation persists, and until there is clear evidence to the contraray, the Fed won’t be cutting rates.This WeekNow that the bond market seems to finally believe the Fed regarding it’s stance on inflation, The Fed Minutes (notes from the last Fed meeting,Wednesday) and Employment report (Friday) loom large on the calendar. Our take is that bond prices have some room to worsen (rates to rise) and that market direction will be driven by the above mentioned technical/psychological factors until we have new data on inflation, and there aren’t any true inflation indicators on the calendar this week….